Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.019792 0.025268 0.032696 0.043924 0.061284 0.088735 0.139492
2024-12-22 0.013826 0.019524 0.028553 0.045228 0.079116 0.157671 0.424928
2024-12-29 0.010868 0.016289 0.025736 0.045695 0.095570 0.259121 1.477705
2025-01-05 0.008749 0.013593 0.022549 0.043220 0.103137 0.366142 5.843716
2025-01-12 0.007430 0.011887 0.020547 0.042130 0.113990 0.546774 97.789433
2025-01-19 0.006780 0.011218 0.020352 0.045345 0.145221 1.146240 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006397 0.010953 0.020910 0.051098 0.201548 3.744909 NaN
2025-02-02 0.006059 0.010696 0.021397 0.057176 0.283004 26.370965 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005537 0.009948 0.020454 0.057729 0.333230 400.273754 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005107 0.009321 0.019656 0.058440 0.395231 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.004722 0.008733 0.018816 0.058534 0.459558 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004289 0.007977 0.017345 0.055035 0.462741 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.003935 0.007412 0.016455 0.054650 0.543757 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003671 0.007024 0.016013 0.056457 0.716356 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003417 0.006620 0.015415 0.057094 0.906259 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003121 0.006074 0.014250 0.053737 0.931281 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002897 0.005676 0.013475 0.052265 1.047615 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002795 0.005567 0.013600 0.056619 1.717387 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002742 0.005573 0.014116 0.064502 3.918227 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002684 0.005559 0.014566 0.072957 11.749966 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002550 0.005322 0.014145 0.073733 21.429494 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002430 0.005110 0.013774 0.074731 47.441016 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002314 0.004896 0.013347 0.074864 118.123902 NaN NaN